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Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Bologna
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Inter
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,3
This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 11
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 13. · Inter 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 4 4 0 0 +13 12
2 Juventus 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Inter 4 4 0 0 +9 12
4 Lazio 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Milan 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Torino 4 2 2 0 +4 8
7 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Fiorentina 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Roma 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Cagliari 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Atalanta 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Chievo 4 1 1 2 -3 4
13 Bologna 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Spal 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 Genoa 4 0 1 3 -4 1
17 Sassuolo 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Crotone 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Verona 4 0 1 3 -10 1
20 Benevento 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Inter
Andrea Poli 🟨
20′
29′
🟨 Danilo D'Ambrosio
1–0 S. Verdi
B. Petković
32′
Godfred Donsah 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🔁 E. Martins
↦ João Mário
S. Taïder 🔁
↦ A. Poli
72′
R. Palacio 🔁
↦ F. Di Francesco
74′
Antonio Mirante 🟨
77′
Bruno Petković 🟨
77′
77′
M. Icardi 1–1
81′
🔁 M. Brozović
↦ A. Candreva
85′
🟨 Éder
86′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ Borja Valero
O. Okwonkwo 🔁
↦ B. Petković
88′
90′
🟨 Yuto Nagatomo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-3-3
83 A. Mirante G
3 G. González D
18 F. Helander D
15 I. M'baye D
25 A. Masina D
16 A. Poli M
5 E. Pulgar M
77 G. Donsah M
9 S. Verdi F
7 B. Petković F
14 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (12)
8 S. Taïder
24 R. Palacio
30 O. Okwonkwo
1 Angelo da Costa
2 Á. Nagy
4 E. Krafth
6 S. De Maio
10 M. Destro
12 L. Crisetig
13 F. Brignani
34 F. Ravaglia
42 G. Frabotta

Coach: R. Donadoni

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
55 Y. Nagatomo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
20 Borja Valero M
11 M. Vecino M
10 João Mário M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (11)
23 E. Martins
77 M. Brozović
5 R. Gagliardini
13 A. Ranocchia
17 Y. Karamoh
21 D. Santon
27 D. Padelli
29 Dalbert Henrique
46 T. Berni
61 Z. Vanheusden
99 A. Pinamonti

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.