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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Benevento

T T T T

0–4

Full-time

Roma

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 46%

25%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

0,3

2,7

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,3

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%

16 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 9

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benevento 20. · Roma 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+13	12
3	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+10	12
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Milan	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Torino	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Sampdoria	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Roma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Bologna	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Chievo	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Spal	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Sassuolo	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Verona	4	0	1	3	-10	1
20	Benevento	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Roma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Spal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Chievo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.