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Serie A

Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese

Juventus

S S U S S

4–0

Full-time

Genoa

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 52%

81%

22%

Points per game

2,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

41%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 1. · Genoa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	32	26	2	4	+44	80
2	Roma	32	23	3	6	+43	72
3	Napoli	33	21	8	4	+42	71
4	Lazio	33	19	7	7	+22	64
5	Atalanta	33	19	6	8	+19	63
6	Milan	33	17	7	9	+13	58
7	Inter	33	17	5	11	+21	56
8	Fiorentina	33	15	10	8	+10	55
9	Torino	33	12	12	9	+9	48
10	Sampdoria	33	12	9	12	+0	45
11	Udinese	33	12	7	14	-1	43
12	Chievo	33	11	5	17	-16	38
13	Cagliari	33	11	5	17	-18	38
14	Sassuolo	33	10	6	17	-10	36
15	Bologna	33	9	8	16	-18	35
16	Genoa	32	7	9	16	-21	30
17	Empoli	33	7	8	18	-29	29
18	Crotone	33	6	6	21	-25	24
19	Palermo	33	3	7	23	-46	16
20	Pescara	32	2	8	22	-39	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	16	0	0	+32	48
2	Roma	16	14	1	1	+31	43
3	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+20	37
4	Lazio	17	11	2	4	+15	35
5	Milan	17	11	2	4	+12	35
6	Atalanta	16	11	2	3	+12	35
7	Fiorentina	17	9	7	1	+10	34
8	Inter	16	10	3	3	+21	33
9	Torino	16	8	7	1	+15	31
10	Sampdoria	17	8	5	4	+7	29
11	Udinese	17	8	3	6	+7	27
12	Cagliari	16	8	3	5	+1	27
13	Chievo	17	6	4	7	-3	22
14	Sassuolo	17	6	2	9	-5	20
15	Bologna	16	6	2	8	-6	20
16	Genoa	16	4	7	5	-1	19
17	Empoli	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Crotone	16	4	3	9	-7	15
19	Pescara	16	1	5	10	-17	8
20	Palermo	16	1	3	12	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	10	4	2	+22	34
2	Juventus	16	10	2	4	+12	32
3	Roma	16	9	2	5	+12	29
4	Lazio	16	8	5	3	+7	29
5	Atalanta	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Milan	16	6	5	5	+1	23
7	Inter	17	7	2	8	+0	23
8	Fiorentina	16	6	3	7	+0	21
9	Torino	17	4	5	8	-6	17
10	Sassuolo	16	4	4	8	-5	16
11	Sampdoria	16	4	4	8	-7	16
12	Udinese	16	4	4	8	-8	16
13	Chievo	16	5	1	10	-13	16
14	Bologna	17	3	6	8	-12	15
15	Empoli	17	3	4	10	-17	13
16	Cagliari	17	3	2	12	-19	11
17	Genoa	16	3	2	11	-20	11
18	Palermo	17	2	4	11	-25	10
19	Crotone	17	2	3	12	-18	9
20	Pescara	16	1	3	12	-22	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.