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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Genoa
U T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Torino
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
47%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
39%
78%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 16. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 36 27 4 5 +46 85
2 Roma 37 27 3 7 +51 84
3 Napoli 37 25 8 4 +53 83
4 Lazio 36 21 7 8 +27 70
5 Atalanta 36 19 9 8 +19 66
6 Milan 36 17 9 10 +10 60
7 Fiorentina 37 16 11 10 +6 59
8 Inter 36 17 5 14 +18 56
9 Torino 36 12 14 10 +4 50
10 Sampdoria 36 12 11 13 -4 47
11 Udinese 36 12 8 16 -6 44
12 Cagliari 36 13 5 18 -18 44
13 Sassuolo 36 12 7 17 -7 43
14 Chievo 37 12 7 18 -17 43
15 Bologna 36 11 8 17 -14 41
16 Genoa 36 8 9 19 -26 33
17 Empoli 36 8 8 20 -30 32
18 Crotone 36 8 7 21 -23 31
19 Palermo 36 5 8 23 -43 23
20 Pescara 36 2 8 26 -46 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Torino
Luca Rigoni 🟨
3′
10′
🟨 Luca Rossettini
18′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ D. Baselli
1–0 L. Rigoni
Miguel Veloso
32′
36′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
45′
🟨 Saša Lukić
Half-time 1–0
Miguel Veloso 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 Adem Ljajić
2–0 G. Simeone
54′
G. Pandev 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
60′
61′
🔁 M. López
↦ A. Acquah
E. Muñoz 🔁
↦ L. Rigoni
63′
68′
🔁 Iago Falqué
↦ J. Iturbe
O. Ntcham 🔁
↦ D. Biraschi
77′
80′
🟨 Lucas Boyé
89′
A. Ljajić 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-2-1
23 E. Lamanna G
8 N. Burdisso D
3 S. Gentiletti D
14 D. Biraschi D
44 Miguel Veloso M
30 L. Rigoni M
22 D. Lazović M
4 I. Cofie M
93 D. Laxalt M
11 R. Palladino F
9 G. Simeone F
Bench (12)
27 G. Pandev
24 E. Muñoz
10 O. Ntcham
15 O. Hiljemark
16 A. Beghetto
32 L. Morosini
38 L. Zima
51 M. Pinilla
64 P. Pellegri
83 Rubinho
94 D. Cataldi
99 N. Ninković

Coach: I. Juric

Torino

4-2-3-1
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
13 L. Rossettini D
26 Danilo Avelar D
6 A. Acquah M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
19 J. Iturbe F
9 A. Belotti F
31 L. Boyé F
Bench (12)
25 S. Lukić
11 M. López
14 Iago Falqué
1 D. Padelli
3 C. Molinaro
4 Leandro Castán
5 Carlão
16 Samuel Gustafson
18 M. Valdifiori
22 J. Obi
23 A. Barreca
90 T. Cucchietti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.