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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Sassuolo
S T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Udinese
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 14. · Udinese 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 6 5 0 1 +8 15
2 Napoli 6 4 2 0 +9 14
3 Roma 6 3 1 2 +6 10
4 Inter 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Chievo 6 3 1 2 +1 10
6 Milan 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Bologna 5 3 0 2 -2 9
8 Torino 6 2 2 2 +4 8
9 Genoa 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Lazio 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Fiorentina 4 2 1 1 +1 7
12 Udinese 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 Sampdoria 5 2 0 3 -2 6
14 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 -3 6
15 Pescara 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Palermo 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Empoli 5 1 1 3 -4 4
19 Atalanta 5 1 0 4 -5 3
20 Crotone 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Udinese
1–0 G. Defrel
Pol Lirola
34′
39′
🔁 D. Zapata
↦ R. de Paul
Federico Peluso 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Thomas Heurtaux
61′
🔁 S. Perica
↦ A. Peñaranda
F. Ricci 🔁
↦ A. Ragusa
64′
L. Pellegrini 🔁
↦ L. Mazzitelli
66′
67′
🟨 Danilo
Davide Biondini 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 Ewandro
↦ C. Théréau
P. Iemmello 🔁
↦ G. Defrel
80′
Francesco Magnanelli 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
5 L. Antei D
20 Pol Lirola D
8 D. Biondini M
4 F. Magnanelli M
22 L. Mazzitelli M
90 A. Ragusa F
11 G. Defrel F
16 M. Politano F
Bench (9)
27 F. Ricci
6 L. Pellegrini
9 P. Iemmello
1 A. Pomini
26 E. Terranova
39 C. Dell'Orco
55 T. Letschert
79 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Udinese

4-3-1-2
1 O. Karnezis G
30 Felipe D
5 Danilo D
75 T. Heurtaux D
53 Ali Adnan M
33 P. Kone M
26 S. Kums M
10 R. de Paul M
14 J. Jankto M
77 C. Théréau F
11 A. Peñaranda F
Bench (12)
9 D. Zapata
18 S. Perica
96 Ewandro
2 M. Wagué
4 G. Angella
6 S. Fofana
7 P. Armero
19 Ryder Matos
20 F. Lodi
22 S. Scuffet
99 A. Balić
98 P. Armenakas

Coach: G. Iachini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.