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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Sampdoria

T T S S T

0–1

Full-time

Milan

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 5. · Milan 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Udinese	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Bologna	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Chievo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Inter	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Torino	3	1	0	2	+2	3
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Milan	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Palermo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Milan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.