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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Sassuolo
T U U S S
2–0
Full-time
Milan
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 43%
37%
48%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
52%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 9
4 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 7. · Milan 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 28 18 7 3 +35 61
2 Juventus 27 19 4 4 +33 61
3 Roma 28 16 8 4 +30 56
4 Fiorentina 28 16 5 7 +18 53
5 Inter 27 14 6 7 +9 48
6 Milan 27 13 8 6 +11 47
7 Sassuolo 27 10 11 6 +3 41
8 Lazio 28 10 8 10 -2 38
9 Bologna 27 10 5 12 -2 35
10 Chievo 28 9 7 12 -6 34
11 Empoli 27 9 7 11 -7 34
12 Torino 28 8 9 11 -1 33
13 Sampdoria 28 8 7 13 -4 31
14 Atalanta 27 7 9 11 -5 30
15 Udinese 27 8 6 13 -16 30
16 Genoa 27 7 7 13 -5 28
17 Palermo 27 7 6 14 -20 27
18 Frosinone 27 6 5 16 -27 23
19 Carpi 27 4 9 14 -20 21
20 Verona 28 2 12 14 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -15 Milan – Sassuolo 2–1

Match report

Sassuolo Milan
1′
🟨 Giacomo Bonaventura
Domenico Berardi 🟨
5′
1–0 A. Duncan
D. Berardi
27′
Half-time 1–0
L. Antei 🔁
↦ P. Cannavaro
54′
55′
🔁 J. Ménez
↦ M. Balotelli
D. Biondini 🔁
↦ S. Missiroli
63′
Grégoire Defrel 🟨
64′
69′
🔁 A. Romagnoli
↦ C. Zapata
2–0 N. Sansone
Š. Vrsaljko
71′
Grégoire Defrel 🟨
77′
Grégoire Defrel 🟥
77′
82′
🔁 K. Boateng
↦ K. Honda
D. Falcinelli 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
86′
87′
🟨 Andrea Bertolacci
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sassuolo

47 A. Consigli G
28 P. Cannavaro D
13 F. Peluso D
11 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 F. Acerbi D
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
17 N. Sansone F
92 G. Defrel F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (11)
5 L. Antei
8 D. Biondini
9 D. Falcinelli
1 A. Pomini
3 A. Longhi
6 L. Pellegrini
16 M. Politano
23 M. Gazzola
26 E. Terranova
29 M. Trotta
79 G. Pegolo

Milan

99 G. Donnarumma G
33 Alex D
17 C. Zapata D
31 L. Antonelli D
2 M. De Sciglio D
28 G. Bonaventura M
27 J. Kucka M
91 A. Bertolacci M
10 K. Honda M
45 M. Balotelli F
70 C. Bacca F
Bench (10)
7 J. Ménez
13 A. Romagnoli
72 K. Boateng
1 Diego López
4 J. Mauri
16 A. Poli
25 S. Simič
32 C. Abbiati
73 M. Locatelli
96 D. Calabria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.