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Eliteserien
Referee: Martin Lundby
Lillestrom
U T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Viking
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Viking
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Viking 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 12 7 4 1 +11 25
2 Sarpsborg 08 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Brann 12 6 4 2 +14 22
4 Odd 12 6 2 4 +0 20
5 Aalesund 13 5 4 4 +2 19
6 Stabaek 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Molde 12 5 2 5 +2 17
8 Valerenga 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Sogndal 12 4 3 5 -1 15
10 Haugesund 12 4 3 5 -2 15
11 Lillestrom 12 4 2 6 -2 14
12 Sandefjord 12 4 2 6 -6 14
13 Stromsgodset 12 3 4 5 -5 13
14 Tromso 12 3 4 5 -6 13
15 Kristiansund 13 3 4 6 -7 13
16 Viking 12 2 2 8 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Viking
Erling Knudtzon 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Julian Ryerson
M. Škoda 🔁
↦ S. Udodji
69′
71′
🔁 P. Pedersen
↦ Z. Bytyqi
72′
🔁 M. Haukås
↦ T. Aasheim
1–0 A. Melgalvis
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
23 S. Udodji F
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
18 B. Innocent M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (7)
27 M. Škoda
7 T. Malec
9 B. Ajeti
40 M. Christiansen
14 F. Krogstad
15 E. Brenden
22 S. Antonijevic

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Viking

4-2-3-1
1 I. Austbø G
14 A. Danielsen M
22 C. Kronberg D
6 K. Mets D
28 K. Haugen D
18 J. Ryerson M
4 M. Ledger D
17 S. Ernemann M
11 Z. Bytyqi M
20 T. Aasheim M
10 K. Appiah F
Bench (7)
9 P. Pedersen
19 M. Haukås
15 A. Wichne
23 R. Shroot
2 R. Martinsen
27 M. Bringaker
25 U. Sale

Coach: I. Burchnall

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Lundby · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.