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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Sevilla

S U U S U

1–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 53%

53%

Points per game

1,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

47%

24%

Both score Ø 53%

59%

47%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Ath Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	4	2	+29	37
2	Ath Madrid	17	9	7	1	+13	34
3	Sevilla	17	9	5	3	+13	32
4	Alaves	18	9	4	5	+3	31
5	Real Madrid	17	9	3	5	+5	30
6	Betis	18	7	5	6	+0	26
7	Getafe	17	6	7	4	+5	25
8	Espanol	18	7	3	8	-5	24
9	Girona	18	5	8	5	-2	23
10	Levante	18	6	5	7	-4	23
11	Valencia	18	4	10	4	+0	22
12	Eibar	18	5	7	6	-4	22
13	Celta	17	5	6	6	+2	21
14	Valladolid	18	5	6	7	-4	21
15	Sociedad	17	5	4	8	-2	19
16	Leganes	18	4	7	7	-5	19
17	Villarreal	18	3	8	7	-4	17
18	Ath Bilbao	17	2	10	5	-8	16
19	Vallecano	18	4	4	10	-14	16
20	Huesca	18	2	5	11	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+18	20
3	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Sevilla	8	6	1	1	+7	19
5	Alaves	9	5	4	0	+5	19
6	Espanol	9	6	0	3	+0	18
7	Eibar	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Betis	9	4	3	2	+1	15
9	Celta	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	Getafe	8	4	1	3	+4	13
11	Leganes	8	3	4	1	+2	13
12	Valencia	9	2	6	1	+3	12
13	Ath Bilbao	9	2	5	2	-3	11
14	Levante	9	3	2	4	-6	11
15	Girona	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	Vallecano	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Villarreal	9	1	4	4	-3	7
19	Huesca	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Sociedad	8	1	3	4	-3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+11	17
2	Sevilla	9	3	4	2	+6	13
3	Sociedad	9	4	1	4	+1	13
4	Girona	9	3	4	2	+1	13
5	Valladolid	9	3	4	2	+0	13
6	Levante	9	3	3	3	+2	12
7	Getafe	9	2	6	1	+1	12
8	Alaves	9	4	0	5	-2	12
9	Ath Madrid	8	2	5	1	+1	11
10	Betis	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Real Madrid	9	3	2	4	-5	11
12	Villarreal	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Celta	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
16	Espanol	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Leganes	10	1	3	6	-7	6
18	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Ath Bilbao	8	0	5	3	-5	5
20	Huesca	9	1	1	7	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.