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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Ath Madrid

S S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Getafe

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Getafe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

55%

40%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%

10 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 26

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Getafe 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	20	14	4	2	+35	46
2	Ath Madrid	20	11	8	1	+17	41
3	Sevilla	21	10	6	5	+14	36
4	Real Madrid	20	11	3	6	+6	36
5	Alaves	20	9	5	6	-1	32
6	Getafe	20	8	7	5	+9	31
7	Betis	20	8	5	7	+0	29
8	Sociedad	20	7	5	8	+1	26
9	Valencia	20	5	11	4	+1	26
10	Levante	21	7	5	9	-8	26
11	Eibar	20	6	7	7	-4	25
12	Girona	20	5	9	6	-3	24
13	Espanol	20	7	3	10	-9	24
14	Ath Bilbao	20	4	11	5	-5	23
15	Leganes	20	5	7	8	-6	22
16	Valladolid	20	5	7	8	-6	22
17	Celta	20	5	6	9	-2	21
18	Vallecano	20	5	5	10	-12	20
19	Villarreal	20	3	9	8	-5	18
20	Huesca	20	2	5	13	-22	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	8	2	1	+23	26
2	Ath Madrid	10	8	2	0	+13	26
3	Sevilla	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Real Madrid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
5	Eibar	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Alaves	9	5	4	0	+5	19
7	Betis	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Espanol	9	6	0	3	+0	18
9	Getafe	10	5	1	4	+7	16
10	Leganes	9	4	4	1	+3	16
11	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	-1	14
12	Levante	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Celta	11	3	4	4	+3	13
14	Valencia	10	2	7	1	+3	13
15	Vallecano	11	3	4	4	-5	13
16	Girona	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Sociedad	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Villarreal	11	1	5	5	-4	8
19	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-4	8
20	Huesca	10	1	4	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Ath Madrid	10	3	6	1	+4	15
4	Getafe	10	3	6	1	+2	15
5	Valladolid	11	3	5	3	-2	14
6	Real Madrid	10	4	2	4	-4	14
7	Sevilla	11	3	4	4	+2	13
8	Girona	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Valencia	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Levante	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Betis	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Villarreal	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Ath Bilbao	10	1	6	3	-4	9
15	Celta	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Espanol	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Leganes	11	1	3	7	-9	6
19	Eibar	9	1	3	5	-10	6
20	Huesca	10	1	1	8	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.