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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Chiffi

Spal

T T T T S

0–3

Full-time

Frosinone

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

3,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,2

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

44%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 28%

22%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,1

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

14 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 14. · Frosinone 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	9	7	0	2	+8	21
3	Inter	9	6	1	2	+7	19
4	Lazio	9	6	0	3	+4	18
5	Fiorentina	10	4	3	3	+8	15
6	Sampdoria	9	4	3	2	+8	15
7	Sassuolo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Roma	9	4	2	3	+4	14
9	Torino	10	3	5	2	+0	14
10	Genoa	8	4	1	3	-2	13
11	Parma	10	4	1	5	-4	13
12	Atalanta	10	3	3	4	+5	12
13	Milan	8	3	3	2	+4	12
14	Spal	9	4	0	5	-2	12
15	Cagliari	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Udinese	9	2	2	5	-5	8
18	Empoli	10	1	3	6	-6	6
19	Chievo	9	0	2	7	-17	2
20	Frosinone	9	0	2	7	-18	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Juventus	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Lazio	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Roma	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Sampdoria	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+5	7
11	Milan	3	2	1	0	+3	7
12	Parma	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Torino	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Bologna	5	2	1	2	-1	7
15	Cagliari	4	1	3	0	+2	6
16	Spal	4	2	0	2	+0	6
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Frosinone	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Chievo	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Napoli	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Lazio	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Torino	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Roma	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Spal	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Parma	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Milan	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Atalanta	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Sassuolo	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Cagliari	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Fiorentina	5	0	2	3	-3	2
17	Empoli	5	0	2	3	-4	2
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Chievo	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.