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Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

Werder Bremen

S S T S S

2–6

Full-time

Leverkusen

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 12

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 4. · Leverkusen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+19	21
2	Bayern Munich	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	M'gladbach	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Werder Bremen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	RB Leipzig	9	4	4	1	+7	16
6	Hertha	9	4	4	1	+5	16
7	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	+7	14
8	Hoffenheim	9	4	1	4	+5	13
9	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Wolfsburg	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Freiburg	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Mainz	9	2	3	4	-5	9
13	Nurnberg	9	2	3	4	-11	9
14	Leverkusen	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Schalke 04	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	Hannover	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Stuttgart	9	1	2	6	-15	5
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	2	6	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	M'gladbach	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	RB Leipzig	5	3	2	0	+9	11
4	Hertha	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Werder Bremen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Nurnberg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Freiburg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Mainz	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+8	7
10	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+4	7
11	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
13	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Hannover	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Stuttgart	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Schalke 04	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Werder Bremen	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Dortmund	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Wolfsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Hertha	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	M'gladbach	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Hannover	5	0	2	3	-6	2
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	2	2	-9	2
16	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Stuttgart	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Nurnberg	4	0	1	3	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.