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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Celta

T T U T T

1–0

Full-time

Alaves

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,0

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

20 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 16. · Alaves 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
7	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+3	5
8	Levante	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Girona	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Betis	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Levante	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
3	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Betis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.