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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Ath Bilbao

S T S S T

5–1

Full-time

Las Palmas

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,7

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 40%

48%

32%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 62%

58%

65%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

44% Possession 56%

18 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

14 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

22 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Las Palmas 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	30	22	6	2	+48	72
2	Barcelona	31	21	6	4	+60	69
3	Ath Madrid	31	18	8	5	+32	62
4	Sevilla	31	18	7	6	+17	61
5	Villarreal	31	15	9	7	+21	54
6	Sociedad	31	16	4	11	+4	52
7	Eibar	31	14	8	9	+10	50
8	Ath Bilbao	31	15	5	11	+4	50
9	Espanol	31	12	10	9	+1	46
10	Celta	30	12	5	13	-6	41
11	Alaves	31	10	10	11	-9	40
12	Valencia	31	11	6	14	-7	39
13	Las Palmas	31	10	8	13	-2	38
14	Malaga	31	8	9	14	-11	33
15	Betis	31	8	7	16	-18	31
16	La Coruna	31	6	10	15	-17	28
17	Leganes	31	6	9	16	-22	27
18	Sp Gijon	31	5	7	19	-29	22
19	Granada	31	4	8	19	-38	20
20	Osasuna	31	3	8	20	-38	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+25	40
2	Barcelona	15	11	3	1	+35	36
3	Sevilla	15	11	3	1	+15	36
4	Ath Bilbao	16	11	3	2	+13	36
5	Ath Madrid	15	11	2	2	+21	35
6	Las Palmas	16	9	5	2	+16	32
7	Villarreal	16	9	3	4	+14	30
8	Eibar	16	9	3	4	+8	30
9	Espanol	16	8	5	3	+9	29
10	Celta	15	9	1	5	+5	28
11	Sociedad	16	8	4	4	+4	28
12	Valencia	15	7	3	5	+0	24
13	Malaga	15	7	2	6	+2	23
14	Betis	16	5	6	5	-1	21
15	La Coruna	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	Alaves	15	4	7	4	-6	19
17	Granada	15	4	4	7	-5	16
18	Leganes	15	3	5	7	-7	14
19	Sp Gijon	15	4	2	9	-12	14
20	Osasuna	16	1	5	10	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	10	3	3	+25	33
2	Real Madrid	14	10	2	2	+23	32
3	Ath Madrid	16	7	6	3	+11	27
4	Sevilla	16	7	4	5	+2	25
5	Villarreal	15	6	6	3	+7	24
6	Sociedad	15	8	0	7	+0	24
7	Alaves	16	6	3	7	-3	21
8	Eibar	15	5	5	5	+2	20
9	Espanol	15	4	5	6	-8	17
10	Valencia	16	4	3	9	-7	15
11	Ath Bilbao	15	4	2	9	-9	14
12	Celta	15	3	4	8	-11	13
13	Leganes	16	3	4	9	-15	13
14	Malaga	16	1	7	8	-13	10
15	Betis	15	3	1	11	-17	10
16	Osasuna	15	2	3	10	-21	9
17	Sp Gijon	16	1	5	10	-17	8
18	La Coruna	16	1	5	10	-21	8
19	Las Palmas	15	1	3	11	-18	6
20	Granada	16	0	4	12	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.