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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Zwolle

T S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Heracles

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

22 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 9. · Heracles 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+4	9
8	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Heracles	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Groningen	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Willem II	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Twente	4	0	0	4	-5	0
18	Roda	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Groningen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	NAC Breda	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	VVV Venlo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-5	3
12	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Twente	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Roda	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.