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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Stabaek
U T U S U
0–2
Full-time
Stromsgodset
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
71%
33%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 7. · Stromsgodset 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 21 13 5 3 +25 44
2 Sarpsborg 08 21 10 8 3 +13 38
3 Brann 21 10 7 4 +21 37
4 Molde 21 10 4 7 +9 34
5 Haugesund 20 8 6 6 +3 30
6 Sandefjord 21 9 3 9 -3 30
7 Stabaek 21 8 6 7 -5 30
8 Odd 20 8 4 8 -7 28
9 Lillestrom 21 7 6 8 -2 27
10 Stromsgodset 21 6 8 7 -3 26
11 Aalesund 21 6 7 8 -1 25
12 Valerenga 20 6 6 8 -3 24
13 Sogndal 21 6 5 10 -7 23
14 Kristiansund 21 5 7 9 -8 22
15 Tromso 20 4 6 10 -17 18
16 Viking 21 3 6 12 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Stromsgodset
21′
Marcus Pedersen 0–1
J. Parr
45′
🟨 Henning Hauger
Half-time 0–2
52′
E. Andersen 0–2
R. Rubin 🔁
↦ M. Njie
58′
A. El Amrani 🔁
↦ R. Gyasi
70′
73′
🔁 M. Hamoud
↦ J. Parr
79′
🔁 M. Gjerstrøm
↦ H. Hauger
Ahmed El-Amrani 🟨
81′
E. Bohinen 🔁
↦ F. Boli
83′
85′
🔁 P. Engblom
↦ Marcus Pedersen
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-4-2
1 M. Sayouba G
3 M. Skjønsberg D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
2 R. Hernández D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
11 M. Njie M
8 J. Sæter M
25 H. Vetlesen M
10 F. Boli F
7 R. Gyasi M
Bench (7)
20 R. Rubin
17 A. El Amrani
23 E. Bohinen
22 J. Alvbåge
77 Hongliang Tao
6 H. Skogseid
21 D. Granli

Coach: Toni Ordinas

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
11 K. Tokstad M
23 E. Andersen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
2 M. Hamoud
21 M. Gjerstrøm
9 P. Engblom
13 C. Sivodedov
20 P. Heigre
34 A. Agouda
66 A. Hoven

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.