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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Barcelona
S S S S S
4–2
Full-time
Eibar
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
5,2
1,2
Scored
4,0
0,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 57%
73%
41%
Points per game
2,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
76%
49%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
51%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%
18 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 4
10 Offside 4
3 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Eibar 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 37 28 6 3 +63 90
2 Barcelona 37 27 6 4 +77 87
3 Ath Madrid 38 23 9 6 +43 78
4 Sevilla 38 21 9 8 +20 72
5 Villarreal 38 19 10 9 +23 67
6 Sociedad 38 19 7 12 +6 64
7 Ath Bilbao 38 19 6 13 +10 63
8 Espanol 38 15 11 12 -1 56
9 Alaves 38 14 13 11 -2 55
10 Eibar 37 15 9 13 +7 54
11 Malaga 37 12 10 15 -4 46
12 Valencia 38 13 7 18 -9 46
13 Celta 38 13 6 19 -16 45
14 Las Palmas 38 10 9 19 -21 39
15 Betis 38 10 9 19 -23 39
16 La Coruna 38 8 12 18 -18 36
17 Leganes 38 8 11 19 -19 35
18 Sp Gijon 38 7 10 21 -30 31
19 Osasuna 38 4 10 24 -54 22
20 Granada 38 4 8 26 -52 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.