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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Barcelona

S U U U S

4–1

Full-time

Espanol

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,8

1,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

60%

33%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

14 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Espanol 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	4	0	+26	37
2	Sevilla	16	10	3	3	+11	33
3	Barcelona	15	9	4	2	+22	31
4	Villarreal	16	8	5	3	+14	29
5	Sociedad	16	9	2	5	+7	29
6	Ath Madrid	16	8	4	4	+15	28
7	Eibar	16	6	5	5	+2	23
8	Ath Bilbao	15	7	2	6	+2	23
9	Espanol	15	5	7	3	+1	22
10	Las Palmas	16	5	6	5	+2	21
11	Malaga	16	5	6	5	-1	21
12	Alaves	16	5	6	5	-2	21
13	Celta	15	6	3	6	-5	21
14	Betis	16	5	3	8	-11	18
15	La Coruna	16	4	4	8	-5	16
16	Leganes	16	4	4	8	-14	16
17	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Sp Gijon	16	3	3	10	-16	12
19	Granada	16	1	6	9	-19	9
20	Osasuna	16	1	4	11	-21	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+10	20
3	Villarreal	8	6	1	1	+12	19
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	2	1	+12	17
5	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
7	Eibar	8	5	2	1	+6	17
8	Las Palmas	8	4	4	0	+8	16
9	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+6	16
10	Celta	8	5	0	3	+0	15
11	La Coruna	8	4	1	3	+5	13
12	Barcelona	7	3	3	1	+8	12
13	Betis	8	3	3	2	-2	12
14	Espanol	8	2	4	2	+0	10
15	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Sp Gijon	8	3	1	4	-6	10
17	Granada	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Leganes	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Valencia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	+14	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Sevilla	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Espanol	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Sociedad	8	4	0	4	+0	12
6	Ath Madrid	8	3	2	3	+3	11
7	Alaves	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-8	10
10	Valencia	8	2	1	5	-3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	1	5	-4	7
12	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-4	6
13	Celta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
14	Betis	8	2	0	6	-9	6
15	Las Palmas	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Osasuna	8	1	2	5	-10	5
17	Malaga	8	0	4	4	-7	4
18	La Coruna	8	0	3	5	-10	3
19	Granada	8	0	3	5	-15	3
20	Sp Gijon	8	0	2	6	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.