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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Real Madrid

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Espanol

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 20/22 matches

Win Ø 56%

75%

36%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

80%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

55%

Average goals

3,6

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

13 Shots 3

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

13 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Espanol 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	20	15	4	1	+36	49
2	Barcelona	22	14	6	2	+43	48
3	Sevilla	22	14	4	4	+16	46
4	Ath Madrid	23	13	6	4	+24	45
5	Sociedad	22	13	2	7	+5	41
6	Villarreal	22	9	9	4	+14	36
7	Eibar	22	10	5	7	+7	35
8	Ath Bilbao	22	10	5	7	+2	35
9	Espanol	22	8	8	6	+1	32
10	Celta	21	9	3	9	-3	30
11	Las Palmas	22	7	7	8	-2	28
12	Alaves	22	6	9	7	-7	27
13	Betis	22	6	6	10	-13	24
14	Malaga	22	5	8	9	-7	23
15	Valencia	21	5	5	11	-11	20
16	La Coruna	21	4	7	10	-8	19
17	Leganes	22	4	6	12	-22	18
18	Sp Gijon	23	4	4	15	-22	16
19	Granada	23	3	7	13	-28	16
20	Osasuna	22	1	7	14	-25	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	9	2	0	+19	29
2	Ath Bilbao	12	8	3	1	+9	27
3	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+16	26
4	Sevilla	10	8	1	1	+10	25
5	Villarreal	12	7	3	2	+12	24
6	Las Palmas	12	6	5	1	+10	23
7	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+6	23
8	Sociedad	11	7	2	2	+5	23
9	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+19	21
10	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
11	Betis	12	4	6	2	+0	18
12	Espanol	12	4	5	3	+3	17
13	Malaga	10	5	2	3	+3	17
14	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
15	Granada	11	3	4	4	+0	13
16	Alaves	11	2	6	3	-7	12
17	Sp Gijon	11	3	1	7	-12	10
18	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Leganes	11	1	4	6	-10	7
20	Osasuna	12	0	4	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+24	27
2	Sevilla	12	6	3	3	+6	21
3	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+17	20
4	Ath Madrid	12	5	4	3	+8	19
5	Sociedad	11	6	0	5	+0	18
6	Alaves	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Espanol	10	4	3	3	-2	15
8	Villarreal	10	2	6	2	+2	12
9	Eibar	10	3	3	4	+1	12
10	Valencia	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-12	11
12	Celta	11	2	3	6	-6	9
13	Ath Bilbao	10	2	2	6	-7	8
14	Malaga	12	0	6	6	-10	6
15	Sp Gijon	12	1	3	8	-10	6
16	Osasuna	10	1	3	6	-11	6
17	Betis	10	2	0	8	-13	6
18	Las Palmas	10	1	2	7	-12	5
19	La Coruna	12	0	5	7	-13	5
20	Granada	12	0	3	9	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.