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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

Mainz

T U U T S

0–2

Full-time

Werder Bremen

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

35%

20%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

70%

80%

Both score Ø 73%

60%

85%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 12. · Werder Bremen 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	20	15	4	1	+33	49
2	RB Leipzig	20	13	3	4	+16	42
3	Ein Frankfurt	20	10	5	5	+7	35
4	Dortmund	20	9	7	4	+17	34
5	Hoffenheim	20	8	10	2	+15	34
6	Hertha	20	10	3	7	+4	33
7	FC Koln	20	8	8	4	+11	32
8	Leverkusen	21	9	3	9	+4	30
9	Freiburg	20	9	2	9	-8	29
10	M'gladbach	20	7	5	8	-5	26
11	Schalke 04	20	7	4	9	+3	25
12	Mainz	20	7	4	9	-6	25
13	Augsburg	21	6	6	9	-8	24
14	Wolfsburg	20	6	4	10	-9	22
15	Hamburg	20	5	4	11	-16	19
16	Werder Bremen	20	4	4	12	-18	16
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	20	4	3	13	-15	15
18	Darmstadt	20	3	3	14	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Bayern Munich	10	7	3	0	+22	24
3	Hertha	9	8	0	1	+12	24
4	Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+14	21
5	Ein Frankfurt	9	6	3	0	+9	21
6	Freiburg	10	7	0	3	+1	21
7	Hoffenheim	10	5	5	0	+11	20
8	FC Koln	9	5	4	0	+10	19
9	Schalke 04	11	6	1	4	+8	19
10	M'gladbach	10	5	3	2	+8	18
11	Mainz	10	5	3	2	+6	18
12	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	+4	17
13	Augsburg	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Darmstadt	11	3	3	5	-7	12
15	Wolfsburg	11	3	2	6	-6	11
16	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-8	11
17	Werder Bremen	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	10	2	2	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	8	1	1	+11	25
2	RB Leipzig	10	5	2	3	+6	17
3	Hoffenheim	10	3	5	2	+4	14
4	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	2	5	-2	14
5	Dortmund	11	3	4	4	+3	13
6	FC Koln	11	3	4	4	+1	13
7	Leverkusen	10	4	1	5	+0	13
8	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Wolfsburg	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Hertha	11	2	3	6	-8	9
11	Hamburg	11	2	2	7	-8	8
12	Freiburg	10	2	2	6	-9	8
13	M'gladbach	10	2	2	6	-13	8
14	FC Ingolstadt 04	10	2	1	7	-8	7
15	Mainz	10	2	1	7	-12	7
16	Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Werder Bremen	9	1	3	5	-13	6
18	Darmstadt	9	0	0	9	-18	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.