La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Espanol
Real Madrid
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–4
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celta
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |
Eibar
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 |
Barcelona
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |
Real Madrid
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |
Granada
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Espanol
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 |
La Coruna
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 11 |
Sociedad
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 12 |
Sp Gijon
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 13 |
Levante
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 |
Malaga
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 |
Las Palmas
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 |
Vallecano
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 |
Betis
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 19 |
Getafe
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 |
Ath Bilbao
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Pau López
G
Arbilla
D
Gerard Moreno
F
L. Modrić
M
Isco
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Inaki Vicandi Garrido · 38 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.