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La Liga
Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido
0–6
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,5
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 8. · Real Madrid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Eibar 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +5 4
6 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Granada 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Espanol 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 La Coruna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Valencia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Sociedad 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Sp Gijon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Sevilla 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Las Palmas 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Betis 2 0 1 1 -5 1
19 Getafe 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Real Madrid
7′
Cristiano Ronaldo 0–1
L. Modrić
Álvaro González 🟨
16′
17′
Cristiano Ronaldo 0–2
20′
Cristiano Ronaldo 0–3
G. Bale
28′
K. Benzema 0–4
Cristiano Ronaldo
36′
🟨 Karim Benzema
Half-time 0–4
Paco Montañés 🔁
↦ M. Ciani
46′
Cañas 🔁
↦ Javi López
46′
56′
🔁 M. Kovačić
↦ L. Modrić
61′
Cristiano Ronaldo 0–5
G. Bale
63′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ K. Benzema
Joan Jordán 🔁
↦ Víctor Sánchez
65′
José Alberto Cañas 🟨
66′
69′
🟨 Mateo Kovačić
75′
🔁 R. Varane
↦ Sergio Ramos
81′
Cristiano Ronaldo 0–6
Lucas Vázquez
Full-time 0–6

Line-ups

Espanol

13 Pau López G
15 M. Ciani D
23 Arbilla D
16 Javi López D
5 Víctor Álvarez D
22 Álvaro González D
3 Rubén Duarte D
4 Víctor Sánchez M
8 Salva Sevilla M
20 F. Caicedo F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
11 Paco Montañés
14 Cañas
19 Joan Jordán
1 F. Bardi
18 Juan Fuentes
24 Antonio Raillo
28 M. Sylla

Real Madrid

1 K. Navas G
4 Sergio Ramos D
3 Pepe D
12 Marcelo D
15 Daniel Carvajal D
19 L. Modrić M
11 G. Bale F
14 Casemiro M
22 Isco M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
9 K. Benzema F
Bench (7)
16 M. Kovačić
18 Lucas Vázquez
2 R. Varane
8 T. Kroos
13 Kiko Casilla
17 Arbeloa
20 Jesé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Inaki Vicandi Garrido · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
14,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.