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La Liga

Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido

Real Madrid

S S S U S

5–0

Full-time

Granada

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 40%

73%

Points per game

2,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

73%

50%

Both score Ø 74%

73%

75%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

2,7

0,9

Conceded

0,9

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

61% Possession 39%

23 Shots 3

13 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Granada 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	4	0	+26	37
2	Barcelona	16	10	4	2	+25	34
3	Sevilla	16	10	3	3	+11	33
4	Villarreal	16	8	5	3	+14	29
5	Sociedad	16	9	2	5	+7	29
6	Ath Madrid	16	8	4	4	+15	28
7	Ath Bilbao	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Eibar	16	6	5	5	+2	23
9	Espanol	17	5	8	4	-2	23
10	Las Palmas	16	5	6	5	+2	21
11	Malaga	16	5	6	5	-1	21
12	Alaves	16	5	6	5	-2	21
13	Celta	16	6	3	7	-6	21
14	Betis	16	5	3	8	-11	18
15	La Coruna	17	4	5	8	-5	17
16	Leganes	16	4	4	8	-14	16
17	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Sp Gijon	16	3	3	10	-16	12
19	Granada	16	1	6	9	-19	9
20	Osasuna	16	1	4	11	-21	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+10	20
3	Villarreal	8	6	1	1	+12	19
4	Ath Bilbao	8	6	1	1	+7	19
5	Ath Madrid	8	5	2	1	+12	17
6	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
8	Eibar	8	5	2	1	+6	17
9	Las Palmas	8	4	4	0	+8	16
10	Barcelona	8	4	3	1	+11	15
11	Celta	8	5	0	3	+0	15
12	La Coruna	8	4	1	3	+5	13
13	Betis	8	3	3	2	-2	12
14	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Sp Gijon	8	3	1	4	-6	10
17	Granada	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Leganes	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Valencia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	+14	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Sevilla	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Sociedad	8	4	0	4	+0	12
5	Espanol	8	3	3	2	-2	12
6	Ath Madrid	8	3	2	3	+3	11
7	Alaves	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-8	10
10	Valencia	8	2	1	5	-3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	1	5	-4	7
12	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-4	6
13	Celta	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Betis	8	2	0	6	-9	6
15	Las Palmas	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Osasuna	8	1	2	5	-10	5
17	Malaga	8	0	4	4	-7	4
18	La Coruna	9	0	4	5	-10	4
19	Granada	8	0	3	5	-15	3
20	Sp Gijon	8	0	2	6	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.