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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Hoffenheim
U S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Darmstadt
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
40%
15%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 53%
65%
40%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 5. · Darmstadt 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 15 4 1 +33 49
2 RB Leipzig 20 13 3 4 +16 42
3 Ein Frankfurt 20 10 5 5 +7 35
4 Dortmund 20 9 7 4 +17 34
5 Hoffenheim 20 8 10 2 +15 34
6 Hertha 20 10 3 7 +4 33
7 FC Koln 20 8 8 4 +11 32
8 Leverkusen 21 9 3 9 +4 30
9 Freiburg 20 9 2 9 -8 29
10 M'gladbach 20 7 5 8 -5 26
11 Schalke 04 20 7 4 9 +3 25
12 Mainz 20 7 4 9 -6 25
13 Augsburg 21 6 6 9 -8 24
14 Wolfsburg 20 6 4 10 -9 22
15 Hamburg 20 5 4 11 -16 19
16 Werder Bremen 20 4 4 12 -18 16
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 20 4 3 13 -15 15
18 Darmstadt 20 3 3 14 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Darmstadt
Kerem Demirbay 🟨
22′
33′
🔁 M. Vrančić
↦ J. Rosenthal
Half-time 0–0
A. Kramarić 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
50′
57′
🔁 A. Colak
↦ T. Boyd
1–0 A. Kramarić
M. Terrazzino
64′
Á. Szalai 🔁
↦ M. Terrazzino
65′
E. Polanski 🔁
↦ N. Amiri
74′
Ermin Bičakčić 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 S. Sirigu
↦ J. Gondorf
76′
🟨 Sidney Sam
Sebastian Rudy 🟨
78′
80′
🟨 Sandro Sirigu
86′
🟨 Peter Niemeyer
90′
🟨 Hamit Altintop
2–0 A. Kramarić
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-1-4-2
1 O. Baumann G
4 E. Bičakčić D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
25 N. Süle D
6 S. Rudy M
17 S. Zuber M
22 K. Vogt D
13 K. Demirbay M
18 N. Amiri M
14 S. Wagner F
23 M. Terrazzino M
Bench (7)
27 A. Kramarić
28 Á. Szalai
8 E. Polanski
30 P. Ochs
33 A. Stolz
16 P. Schwegler
38 S. Posch

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
31 M. Esser G
32 F. Holland D
7 A. Fedetskiy D
3 A. Milosevic D
10 J. Rosenthal M
34 Hamit Altıntop M
18 P. Niemeyer D
20 M. Heller M
33 S. Sam M
8 J. Gondorf M
15 T. Boyd F
Bench (7)
6 M. Vrančić
16 A. Colak
17 S. Sirigu
13 M. Steinhöfer
1 Daniel Heuer
26 P. Banggaard
2 L. Guwara

Coach: T. Frings

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.