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Bundesliga

Referee: Christian Dingert

Hamburg

S T T S S

2–2

Full-time

Freiburg

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

25%

45%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

55%

75%

Both score Ø 55%

40%

70%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

6 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 16. · Freiburg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	21	15	5	1	+33	50
2	RB Leipzig	20	13	3	4	+16	42
3	Dortmund	21	10	7	4	+20	37
4	Hoffenheim	21	9	10	2	+17	37
5	Ein Frankfurt	21	10	5	6	+5	35
6	Hertha	21	10	4	7	+4	34
7	FC Koln	20	8	8	4	+11	32
8	Leverkusen	21	9	3	9	+4	30
9	Freiburg	20	9	2	9	-8	29
10	M'gladbach	20	7	5	8	-5	26
11	Schalke 04	20	7	4	9	+3	25
12	Mainz	21	7	4	10	-8	25
13	Augsburg	21	6	6	9	-8	24
14	Wolfsburg	21	6	4	11	-12	22
15	Werder Bremen	21	5	4	12	-16	19
16	Hamburg	20	5	4	11	-16	19
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	21	5	3	13	-13	18
18	Darmstadt	21	3	3	15	-27	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	10	8	1	1	+12	25
2	RB Leipzig	10	8	1	1	+10	25
3	Bayern Munich	10	7	3	0	+22	24
4	Dortmund	10	7	3	0	+17	24
5	Hoffenheim	11	6	5	0	+13	23
6	Ein Frankfurt	10	6	3	1	+7	21
7	Freiburg	10	7	0	3	+1	21
8	FC Koln	9	5	4	0	+10	19
9	Schalke 04	11	6	1	4	+8	19
10	M'gladbach	10	5	3	2	+8	18
11	Mainz	11	5	3	3	+4	18
12	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	+4	17
13	Augsburg	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Darmstadt	11	3	3	5	-7	12
15	Wolfsburg	11	3	2	6	-6	11
16	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-8	11
17	Werder Bremen	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	10	2	2	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	2	1	+11	26
2	RB Leipzig	10	5	2	3	+6	17
3	Hoffenheim	10	3	5	2	+4	14
4	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	2	5	-2	14
5	Dortmund	11	3	4	4	+3	13
6	FC Koln	11	3	4	4	+1	13
7	Leverkusen	10	4	1	5	+0	13
8	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Wolfsburg	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	3	1	7	-6	10
11	Hertha	11	2	3	6	-8	9
12	Werder Bremen	10	2	3	5	-11	9
13	Hamburg	11	2	2	7	-8	8
14	Freiburg	10	2	2	6	-9	8
15	M'gladbach	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	Mainz	10	2	1	7	-12	7
17	Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Darmstadt	10	0	0	10	-20	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.