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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Mechelen
T T S T S
3–0
Full-time
Lokeren
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
46%
27%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 2. · Lokeren 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 13 2 3 +27 41
2 Mechelen 26 12 5 9 +4 41
3 Genk 26 12 5 9 +2 41
4 Waregem 17 12 3 2 +16 39
5 Standard 26 10 9 7 +10 39
6 Anderlecht 17 11 4 2 +26 37
7 Oostende 17 11 2 4 +16 35
8 Kortrijk 26 8 6 12 -13 30
9 Charleroi 16 8 5 3 +5 29
10 Lokeren 26 7 8 11 -6 29
11 Gent 16 8 3 5 +7 27
12 St Truiden 26 7 5 14 -10 26
13 Beveren 26 5 9 12 -13 24
14 Eupen 26 6 6 14 -23 24
15 Westerlo 27 5 7 15 -24 22
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 5 3 18 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Lokeren
1–0 N. Verdier
T. Matthys
8′
2–0 D. Kolovos
Y. Croizet
25′
G. Claes 🔁
↦ D. Kolovos
31′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 G. Martin
↦ M. Mirić
47′
🟨 Koen Persoons
S. De Witte 🔁
↦ G. Claes
63′
I. Osaguona 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
76′
3–0 I. Osaguona
Ž. Filipović
76′
Ighodaro Christian Osaguona 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 J. Rassoul
↦ A. Skúlason
86′
🔁 A. Monsecour
↦ B. Ňinaj
Zeljko Filipovic 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
30 J. Vanlerberghe F
16 A. Bjelica F
7 T. Matthys M
55 Ž. Filipović M
11 M. Rits M
17 D. Kolovos M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
77 G. Claes
4 S. De Witte
12 I. Osaguona
2 L. Paulussen
14 Chen Xavier
21 S. Ninis
49 A. Moris

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Lokeren

4-2-3-1
1 B. Barry G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
11 G. Galitsios D
25 B. Ňinaj D
8 K. Persoons M
22 S. De Ridder F
21 M. Mirić F
9 T. De Sutter F
14 M. Terki -
35 B. Straetman F
Bench (7)
18 G. Martin
20 J. Rassoul
27 A. Monsecour
13 D. Verhulst
23 N. Jambor
29 L. Enoh
50 S. Bolbat

Coach: R. Kristinsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.