Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wigan
Preston
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 21 | 3 | 7 | +35 | 66 |
| 2 |
Brighton
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +26 | 65 |
| 3 |
Huddersfield
|
29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 61 |
| 4 |
Leeds
|
32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | +11 | 57 |
| 5 |
Reading
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 57 |
| 6 |
Norwich
|
32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +12 | 51 |
| 7 |
Sheffield Weds
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 49 |
| 8 |
Barnsley
|
32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | +6 | 49 |
| 9 |
Preston
|
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | +4 | 48 |
| 10 |
Derby
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +7 | 47 |
| 11 |
Fulham
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +11 | 46 |
| 12 |
Cardiff
|
32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 13 |
Ipswich
|
32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 |
Birmingham
|
32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | -11 | 40 |
| 15 |
Brentford
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -6 | 36 |
| 17 |
Nott'm Forest
|
32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -11 | 36 |
| 18 |
Wolves
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -4 | 35 |
| 19 |
QPR
|
31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 34 |
| 20 |
Bristol City
|
31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | -4 | 32 |
| 21 |
Burton Albion
|
31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | -14 | 31 |
| 22 |
Wigan
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -9 | 29 |
| 23 |
Blackburn
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 29 |
| 24 |
Rotherham
|
32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | -38 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wolves
Wigan
Fulham
Wigan
Wigan
Norwich
Wigan
Sheffield Weds
Wigan
Brentford
Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.