Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Angers
Nancy
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | +52 | 59 |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | +32 | 55 |
| 3 |
Nice
|
25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | +21 | 53 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | +16 | 40 |
| 5 |
St Etienne
|
25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | +11 | 39 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +4 | 39 |
| 7 |
Bordeaux
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | -2 | 36 |
| 8 |
Guingamp
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 34 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 33 |
| 10 |
Rennes
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | -6 | 33 |
| 11 |
Montpellier
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 |
Nantes
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 |
Metz
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -20 | 29 |
| 14 |
Dijon
|
25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 27 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 |
Nancy
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 27 |
| 17 |
Lille
|
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 18 |
Caen
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 |
Bastia
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 |
Lorient
|
25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -24 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Michel
G
B. Santamaria
M
Coach: S. Moulin
Coach: P. Correa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lille
Angers
Angers
Rennes
Toulouse
Angers
Angers
Metz
St Etienne
Angers
Olivier Thual · 40 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.