Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feirense
Boavista
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Porto
|
22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | +34 | 53 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | +35 | 51 |
| 3 |
Sp Lisbon
|
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +15 | 41 |
| 4 |
Sp Braga
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +14 | 38 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 35 |
| 6 |
Chaves
|
22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | +4 | 32 |
| 7 |
Maritimo
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 32 |
| 8 |
Vitoria Setubal
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 9 |
Rio Ave
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 |
Arouca
|
22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 |
Boavista
|
21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 |
Belenenses
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 25 |
| 13 |
Feirense
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -16 | 25 |
| 14 |
Estoril
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 |
Moreirense
|
22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -14 | 19 |
| 17 |
Nacional
|
21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -17 | 14 |
| 18 |
Tondela
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -23 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Nuno Santos
Coach: Miguel Leal
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tondela
Feirense
Feirense
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Feirense
Feirense
Estoril
Feirense
Guimaraes
Helder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.