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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Vallecano

T T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Granada

T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 20%

30%

10%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

40%

70%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

7 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 1

4 Offside 9

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 15. · Granada 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+20	24
2	Barcelona	10	8	0	2	+10	24
3	Celta	11	6	3	2	+4	21
4	Ath Madrid	10	6	2	2	+9	20
5	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Valencia	11	5	3	3	+8	18
7	Eibar	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	+3	15
9	Ath Bilbao	10	4	2	4	+3	14
10	Espanol	10	4	1	5	-10	13
11	Sevilla	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Sp Gijon	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Betis	10	3	3	4	-6	12
14	Getafe	10	3	1	6	-5	10
15	Vallecano	10	3	1	6	-7	10
16	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-2	9
17	Malaga	10	2	3	5	-3	9
18	Las Palmas	11	2	3	6	-7	9
19	Granada	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Levante	11	1	4	6	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Villarreal	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Getafe	5	3	0	2	+5	9
8	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+3	9
9	Malaga	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Las Palmas	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Espanol	5	2	1	2	-5	7
15	La Coruna	5	1	3	1	+2	6
16	Levante	6	1	3	2	-4	6
17	Sp Gijon	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Sociedad	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Granada	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Barcelona	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Betis	5	2	2	1	-2	8
9	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	+2	7
10	Valencia	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Espanol	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	Vallecano	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Malaga	5	0	1	4	-6	1
18	Las Palmas	5	0	1	4	-8	1
19	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-10	1
20	Levante	5	0	1	4	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.