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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Sevilla

T U T T S

2–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

12 Shots 28

5 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 11

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 9

6 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 16. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Celta	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+4	15
4	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+13	14
5	Ath Madrid	6	4	0	2	+6	12
6	La Coruna	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Eibar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Espanol	6	3	0	3	-8	9
10	Betis	6	2	2	2	-4	8
11	Getafe	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Vallecano	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Sociedad	6	1	3	2	+1	6
14	Las Palmas	6	1	2	3	-1	5
15	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Sevilla	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Levante	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Granada	6	1	0	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Celta	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Espanol	3	2	0	1	-4	6
8	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Las Palmas	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Betis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Eibar	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Sociedad	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Granada	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+7	7
2	La Coruna	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Celta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Eibar	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Betis	3	1	1	1	-4	4
12	Granada	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Espanol	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Las Palmas	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Ath Bilbao	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Levante	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.