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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Cortus
Wolfsburg
S U T S T
3–1
Full-time
Hannover
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-2,3
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
44%
11%
Points per game
1,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
63%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
59%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 8. · Hannover 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 27 19 6 2 +36 63
2 Bayern Munich 27 19 4 4 +41 61
3 RB Leipzig 27 15 7 5 +29 52
4 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 7 6 +24 49
5 M'gladbach 27 14 5 8 +12 47
6 Werder Bremen 27 11 9 7 +10 42
7 Leverkusen 27 13 3 11 +4 42
8 Wolfsburg 27 12 6 9 +3 42
9 Hoffenheim 27 10 11 6 +15 41
10 Hertha 27 9 8 10 -4 35
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 10 4 13 -15 34
12 Mainz 28 9 6 13 -15 33
13 Freiburg 28 7 11 10 -10 32
14 Schalke 04 27 7 5 15 -16 26
15 Augsburg 27 6 7 14 -13 25
16 Stuttgart 27 5 5 17 -33 20
17 Nurnberg 27 3 7 17 -30 16
18 Hannover 27 3 5 19 -38 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Hannover
Renato Steffen 🟨
13′
20′
🟨 Nicolai Müller
30′
H. Weydandt 0–1
L. Maina
1–1 R. Steffen
J. Guilavogui
32′
Half-time 1–1
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
62′
70′
🔁 F. Muslija
↦ N. Müller
2–1 R. Steffen
D. Ginczek
71′
Y. Mallı 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
77′
3–1 J. Roussillon
Y. Mallı
78′
79′
🔁 S. Soto
↦ M. Bakalorz
84′
🟨 Kevin Wimmer
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-1-4-1
12 P. Pervan G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
2 William D
14 A. Mehmedi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
8 R. Steffen M
7 J. Brekalo M
37 E. Rexhbecaj M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
33 D. Ginczek
10 Y. Mallı
11 F. Klaus
3 P. Verhaegh
17 F. Uduokhai
32 M. Tisserand
36 P. Menzel

Coach: B. Labbadia

Hannover

4-5-1
23 M. Esser G
25 O. Sorg D
4 J. Korb D
28 K. Wimmer D
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
6 M. Bakalorz M
21 N. Müller M
10 G. Haraguchi M
26 H. Weydandt F
40 L. Maina M
Bench (7)
35 F. Muslija
16 S. Soto
18 I. Fossum
5 Felipe
22 M. Ostrzolek
33 U. Bech
19 S. Sahin-Radlinger

Coach: T. Doll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benjamin Cortus · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.