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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Willem II

T S S S S

1–4

Full-time

Ajax

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

5,2

4,2

Scored

2,8

3,2

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 61%

43%

79%

Points per game

1,4

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

68%

79%

Both score Ø 52%

64%

39%

Average goals

3,8

4,3

Scored

1,8

3,4

Conceded

2,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 7. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	28	22	4	2	+65	70
2	Ajax	28	22	2	4	+71	68
3	AZ Alkmaar	28	15	6	7	+23	51
4	Feyenoord	28	15	5	8	+24	50
5	Heracles	26	13	3	10	+2	42
6	Utrecht	25	11	7	7	+11	40
7	Willem II	28	12	4	12	-5	40
8	Vitesse	25	9	9	7	+7	36
9	Heerenveen	28	9	9	10	-5	36
10	Groningen	26	10	5	11	+0	35
11	VVV Venlo	28	9	6	13	-16	33
12	Zwolle	28	9	5	14	-12	32
13	Den Haag	28	7	9	12	-17	30
14	For Sittard	28	8	6	14	-19	30
15	Excelsior	28	7	5	16	-29	26
16	De Graafschap	28	7	4	17	-26	25
17	FC Emmen	28	6	7	15	-36	25
18	NAC Breda	28	5	6	17	-38	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	1	0	+46	40
2	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+48	38
3	Feyenoord	14	12	0	2	+27	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+19	30
5	Heracles	13	9	0	4	+13	27
6	Vitesse	12	6	5	1	+7	23
7	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+9	22
8	For Sittard	14	6	4	4	+6	22
9	Groningen	13	7	1	5	+6	22
10	VVV Venlo	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Excelsior	15	5	3	7	-11	18
12	De Graafschap	14	5	2	7	-1	17
13	Willem II	13	5	2	6	-2	17
14	NAC Breda	14	4	4	6	-8	16
15	Den Haag	14	4	4	6	-10	16
16	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Heerenveen	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	FC Emmen	14	2	5	7	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	10	0	4	+23	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	3	2	+19	30
3	Willem II	15	7	2	6	-3	23
4	Heerenveen	14	6	4	4	+4	22
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	3	5	+4	21
6	Utrecht	12	5	3	4	+2	18
7	Zwolle	14	5	2	7	-8	17
8	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-11	15
9	Feyenoord	14	3	5	6	-3	14
10	Den Haag	14	3	5	6	-7	14
11	FC Emmen	14	4	2	8	-23	14
12	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	+0	13
13	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
14	VVV Venlo	14	3	3	8	-18	12
15	Excelsior	13	2	2	9	-18	8
16	For Sittard	14	2	2	10	-25	8
17	De Graafschap	14	2	2	10	-25	8
18	NAC Breda	14	1	2	11	-30	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.