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Bundesliga

Referee: Sascha Stegemann

Bayern Munich

T S S S S

6–0

Full-time

Wolfsburg

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 59%

71%

46%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

75%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

63%

54%

Average goals

3,5

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 4

12 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Wolfsburg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	24	16	6	2	+31	54
2	Bayern Munich	24	17	3	4	+29	54
3	RB Leipzig	24	13	6	5	+23	45
4	M'gladbach	24	13	4	7	+13	43
5	Ein Frankfurt	24	11	7	6	+17	40
6	Leverkusen	24	12	3	9	+8	39
7	Wolfsburg	24	11	6	7	+8	39
8	Werder Bremen	25	9	9	7	+6	36
9	Hertha	24	9	8	7	+3	35
10	Hoffenheim	24	8	10	6	+11	34
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	9	4	11	-11	31
12	Mainz	24	8	6	10	-11	30
13	Freiburg	24	6	9	9	-6	27
14	Schalke 04	25	6	5	14	-16	23
15	Augsburg	24	5	6	13	-12	21
16	Stuttgart	24	5	4	15	-28	19
17	Hannover	24	3	5	16	-34	14
18	Nurnberg	24	2	7	15	-31	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	12	10	2	0	+23	32
2	M'gladbach	12	9	0	3	+12	27
3	RB Leipzig	12	7	4	1	+17	25
4	Bayern Munich	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	Leverkusen	12	7	1	4	+4	22
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+11	21
7	Werder Bremen	13	5	5	3	+5	20
8	Hertha	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Mainz	12	5	4	3	+1	19
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	6	0	6	-1	18
11	Hoffenheim	12	4	5	3	+6	17
12	Freiburg	12	4	5	3	+4	17
13	Wolfsburg	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Stuttgart	12	4	2	6	-8	14
15	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	+1	13
16	Schalke 04	12	4	1	7	-7	13
17	Nurnberg	13	2	5	6	-5	11
18	Hannover	12	3	1	8	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	0	3	+18	30
2	Wolfsburg	12	7	2	3	+9	23
3	Dortmund	12	6	4	2	+8	22
4	RB Leipzig	12	6	2	4	+6	20
5	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	4	3	+6	19
6	Hoffenheim	12	4	5	3	+5	17
7	Leverkusen	12	5	2	5	+4	17
8	M'gladbach	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Hertha	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	-10	13
12	Mainz	12	3	2	7	-12	11
13	Schalke 04	13	2	4	7	-9	10
14	Freiburg	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	Augsburg	12	2	2	8	-13	8
16	Stuttgart	12	1	2	9	-20	5
17	Hannover	12	0	4	8	-22	4
18	Nurnberg	11	0	2	9	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.