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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Hannover
S T U S U
0–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
1,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
37%
16%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
53%
42%
Both score Ø 66%
68%
63%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 10. · Wolfsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 16 2 2 +33 50
2 Leverkusen 20 9 7 4 +14 34
3 Schalke 04 20 9 7 4 +7 34
4 Ein Frankfurt 20 9 6 5 +6 33
5 RB Leipzig 20 9 5 6 +3 32
6 Dortmund 20 8 7 5 +15 31
7 M'gladbach 20 9 4 7 -2 31
8 Augsburg 20 7 7 6 +3 28
9 Hoffenheim 20 7 6 7 -1 27
10 Hannover 19 7 6 6 -1 27
11 Hertha 20 6 8 6 +0 26
12 Freiburg 20 5 9 6 -13 24
13 Wolfsburg 19 3 11 5 -2 20
14 Stuttgart 20 6 2 12 -10 20
15 Mainz 20 5 5 10 -11 20
16 Werder Bremen 20 3 8 9 -9 17
17 Hamburg 20 4 4 12 -13 16
18 FC Koln 20 3 4 13 -19 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Wolfsburg
41′
🟨 Marcel Tisserand
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Yannick Gerhardt
Pirmin Schwegler 🟨
62′
I. Bebou 🔁
↦ J. Elez
66′
72′
Y. Mallı 0–1
M. Tisserand
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ P. Schwegler
75′
Martin Harnik 🟨
77′
84′
🔁 E. Rexhbecaj
↦ D. Didavi
C. Benschop 🔁
↦ O. Sorg
85′
90′
🟨 Maximilian Arnold
91′
🔁 S. Jung
↦ Y. Mallı
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hannover

3-1-4-2
1 P. Tschauner G
25 O. Sorg D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
20 S. Sané D
2 J. Elez D
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
11 F. Klaus M
18 I. Fossum M
14 M. Harnik F
24 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (7)
13 I. Bebou
26 K. Karaman
35 C. Benschop
6 M. Bakalorz
10 S. Maier
19 F. Hübner
23 M. Esser

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
5 J. Bruma D
31 R. Knoche D
29 M. Tisserand D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
11 D. Didavi M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
18 V. Osimhen F
Bench (7)
37 E. Rexhbecaj
24 S. Jung
2 William
6 R. Bazoer
20 M. Grün
21 J. Brekalo
35 G. Itter

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.