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Bundesliga
Referee: Deniz Aytekin
Wolfsburg
U S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Hannover
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%
23 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 4. · Hannover 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 6 0 0 +17 18
2 Dortmund 6 5 1 0 +15 16
3 Schalke 04 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 FC Koln 7 3 2 2 -2 11
6 FC Ingolstadt 04 7 3 2 2 -2 11
7 Hertha 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Hamburg 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Mainz 6 3 0 3 +3 9
10 Darmstadt 6 2 3 1 -1 9
11 Leverkusen 6 3 0 3 -4 9
12 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 +4 8
13 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 -2 7
14 Augsburg 6 1 1 4 -3 4
15 Stuttgart 6 1 0 5 -6 3
16 M'gladbach 6 1 0 5 -8 3
17 Hoffenheim 6 0 2 4 -6 2
18 Hannover 6 0 1 5 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Hannover
Josuha Guilavogui 🟨
26′
1–0 B. Dost
D. Caligiuri
40′
Half-time 1–1
57′
H. Kiyotake 1–1
M. Schmiedebach
M. Arnold 🔁
↦ J. Draxler
58′
66′
🔁 F. Klaus
↦ L. Andreasen
Maximilian Arnold 🟨
69′
73′
🔁 M. Erdinç
↦ A. Sobiech
N. Bendtner 🔁
↦ A. Schürrle
75′
S. Jung 🔁
↦ C. Träsch
80′
82′
🔁 Felipe
↦ H. Kiyotake
83′
🟨 Felipe
90′
🟨 Marcelo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

1 D. Benaglio
25 Naldo D
15 C. Träsch M
18 Dante D
34 R. Rodriguez D
7 D. Caligiuri M
23 J. Guilavogui M
17 A. Schürrle M
10 J. Draxler M
11 M. Kruse F
12 B. Dost F
Bench (7)
27 M. Arnold
3 N. Bendtner
24 S. Jung
4 M. Schäfer
5 T. Klose
20 M. Grün
35 F. Rodriguez

Hannover

1 R. Zieler G
19 C. Schulz D
25 Marcelo D
3 Miiko Albornoz D
29 O. Sorg D
5 S. Sané D
2 L. Andreasen M
10 H. Kiyotake M
8 M. Schmiedebach M
26 K. Karaman F
9 A. Sobiech F
Bench (7)
11 F. Klaus
39 M. Erdinç
20 Felipe
6 C. Gülselam
13 P. Tschauner
14 A. Saint-Maximin
31 W. Anton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.