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Bundesliga
Referee: Manuel Gräfe
Augsburg
T T T S U
3–1
Full-time
Hannover
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,0
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 16%
20%
12%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
72%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
22 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 15. · Hannover 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 25 18 3 4 +35 57
2 Dortmund 25 17 6 2 +33 57
3 M'gladbach 26 14 5 7 +14 47
4 RB Leipzig 25 13 7 5 +23 46
5 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 7 6 +20 43
6 Leverkusen 25 13 3 9 +9 42
7 Wolfsburg 25 11 6 8 +2 39
8 Hoffenheim 25 9 10 6 +12 37
9 Werder Bremen 25 9 9 7 +6 36
10 Hertha 25 9 8 8 +2 35
11 Freiburg 26 7 10 9 -5 31
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 25 9 4 12 -14 31
13 Mainz 25 8 6 11 -12 30
14 Schalke 04 25 6 5 14 -16 23
15 Augsburg 25 5 7 13 -12 22
16 Stuttgart 25 5 4 16 -30 19
17 Hannover 25 3 5 17 -35 14
18 Nurnberg 25 2 7 16 -32 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Hannover
8′
H. Weydandt 0–1
31′
🟨 Michael Esser
35′
🟨 Jonathas
André Hahn 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ A. Finnbogason
59′
1–1 S. Córdova
65′
66′
🔁 Walace
↦ N. Müller
76′
🔁 U. Bech
↦ H. Weydandt
2–1 J. Schmid
78′
79′
🟨 Linton Maina
80′
🟨 Marvin Bakalorz
80′
🔁 F. Muslija
↦ L. Maina
3–1 A. Hahn
K. Danso
86′
J. Gouweleeuw 🔁
↦ Koo Ja-Cheol
87′
90′
🟨 Uffe Bech
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ M. Richter
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-1-4-1
40 G. Kobel G
31 P. Max D
38 K. Danso D
10 D. Baier M
28 A. Hahn F
17 J. Schmid D
19 Koo Ja-Cheol M
8 R. Khedira M
27 A. Finnbogason F
22 Ji Dong-Won M
23 M. Richter M
Bench (7)
21 S. Córdova
6 J. Gouweleeuw
24 F. Jensen
16 C. Janker
34 G. Teigl
14 J. Morávek
39 B. Leneis

Coach: M. Baum

Hannover

4-3-1-2
23 M. Esser G
3 M. Albornoz D
25 O. Sorg D
28 K. Wimmer D
31 W. Anton D
6 M. Bakalorz M
21 N. Müller M
10 G. Haraguchi M
26 H. Weydandt F
40 L. Maina M
9 Jonathas F
Bench (7)
8 Walace
33 U. Bech
35 F. Muslija
11 T. Asano
2 J. Elez
19 S. Sahin-Radlinger
4 J. Korb

Coach: T. Doll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Gräfe · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.