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Eredivisie

Referee: Christaan Bax

Groningen

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Excelsior

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,3

1,5

Scored

0,8

0,2

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 26/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

42%

61%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

54%

Average goals

2,2

3,4

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,1

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 10. · Excelsior 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	29	23	2	4	+74	71
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	22	4	2	+65	70
3	AZ Alkmaar	28	15	6	7	+23	51
4	Feyenoord	28	15	5	8	+24	50
5	Heracles	26	13	3	10	+2	42
6	Utrecht	26	11	7	8	+6	40
7	Willem II	29	12	4	13	-8	40
8	Vitesse	25	9	9	7	+7	36
9	Heerenveen	28	9	9	10	-5	36
10	Groningen	26	10	5	11	+0	35
11	Den Haag	29	8	9	12	-12	33
12	VVV Venlo	28	9	6	13	-16	33
13	Zwolle	28	9	5	14	-12	32
14	For Sittard	28	8	6	14	-19	30
15	Excelsior	28	7	5	16	-29	26
16	De Graafschap	28	7	4	17	-26	25
17	FC Emmen	28	6	7	15	-36	25
18	NAC Breda	28	5	6	17	-38	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	1	0	+46	40
2	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+48	38
3	Feyenoord	14	12	0	2	+27	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+19	30
5	Heracles	13	9	0	4	+13	27
6	Vitesse	12	6	5	1	+7	23
7	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+9	22
8	For Sittard	14	6	4	4	+6	22
9	Groningen	13	7	1	5	+6	22
10	VVV Venlo	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-5	19
12	Excelsior	15	5	3	7	-11	18
13	De Graafschap	14	5	2	7	-1	17
14	Willem II	14	5	2	7	-5	17
15	NAC Breda	14	4	4	6	-8	16
16	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Heerenveen	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	FC Emmen	14	2	5	7	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	11	0	4	+26	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	3	2	+19	30
3	Willem II	15	7	2	6	-3	23
4	Heerenveen	14	6	4	4	+4	22
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	3	5	+4	21
6	Utrecht	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Zwolle	14	5	2	7	-8	17
8	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-11	15
9	Feyenoord	14	3	5	6	-3	14
10	Den Haag	14	3	5	6	-7	14
11	FC Emmen	14	4	2	8	-23	14
12	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	+0	13
13	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
14	VVV Venlo	14	3	3	8	-18	12
15	Excelsior	13	2	2	9	-18	8
16	For Sittard	14	2	2	10	-25	8
17	De Graafschap	14	2	2	10	-25	8
18	NAC Breda	14	1	2	11	-30	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.