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Bundesliga

Referee: Benjamin Cortus

Wolfsburg

S T T S U

3–0

Full-time

Mainz

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

43%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

57%

Both score Ø 60%

57%

62%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsburg 7. · Mainz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	21	15	5	1	+31	50
2	Bayern Munich	22	15	3	4	+24	48
3	M'gladbach	21	13	3	5	+20	42
4	RB Leipzig	21	11	5	5	+20	38
5	Ein Frankfurt	21	9	6	6	+13	33
6	Leverkusen	21	10	3	8	+5	33
7	Wolfsburg	21	9	5	7	+2	32
8	Hertha	21	8	7	6	+3	31
9	Hoffenheim	21	7	9	5	+9	30
10	Werder Bremen	21	8	6	7	+4	30
11	Mainz	21	7	6	8	-10	27
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	21	7	4	10	-14	25
13	Freiburg	21	5	8	8	-8	23
14	Schalke 04	21	6	4	11	-7	22
15	Augsburg	22	4	6	12	-9	18
16	Stuttgart	21	4	3	14	-30	15
17	Hannover	21	3	5	13	-24	14
18	Nurnberg	21	2	6	13	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	M'gladbach	10	9	0	1	+19	27
3	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+17	24
4	Bayern Munich	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+10	17
6	Werder Bremen	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Hertha	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Leverkusen	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Mainz	11	4	4	3	-2	16
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	5	0	6	-2	15
11	Hoffenheim	11	3	5	3	+3	14
12	Freiburg	11	3	5	3	+0	14
13	Schalke 04	10	4	0	6	-3	12
14	Wolfsburg	10	3	3	4	-4	12
15	Stuttgart	10	3	2	5	-10	11
16	Augsburg	11	2	4	5	+0	10
17	Nurnberg	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Hannover	11	3	1	7	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	0	3	+14	27
2	Dortmund	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Wolfsburg	11	6	2	3	+6	20
4	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	+5	17
5	Hoffenheim	10	4	4	2	+6	16
6	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Hertha	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	M'gladbach	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	RB Leipzig	10	4	2	4	+3	14
10	Werder Bremen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Mainz	10	3	2	5	-8	11
12	Schalke 04	11	2	4	5	-4	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-12	10
14	Freiburg	10	2	3	5	-8	9
15	Augsburg	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Hannover	10	0	4	6	-15	4
17	Stuttgart	11	1	1	9	-20	4
18	Nurnberg	10	0	2	8	-25	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.