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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Cortus
Mainz
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
15 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mainz 11. · Wolfsburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 16 5 1 +41 53
2 RB Leipzig 23 15 4 4 +19 49
3 Dortmund 22 11 7 4 +23 40
4 Hoffenheim 22 9 11 2 +17 38
5 Hertha 22 11 4 7 +6 37
6 Ein Frankfurt 22 10 5 7 +3 35
7 FC Koln 22 8 9 5 +9 33
8 Leverkusen 22 9 3 10 +2 30
9 Freiburg 22 9 3 10 -11 30
10 M'gladbach 22 8 5 9 -4 29
11 Mainz 22 8 4 10 -6 28
12 Augsburg 23 7 7 9 -7 28
13 Schalke 04 22 7 6 9 +3 27
14 Wolfsburg 22 6 4 12 -13 22
15 Werder Bremen 22 6 4 12 -15 22
16 Hamburg 22 5 5 12 -24 20
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 22 5 3 14 -15 18
18 Darmstadt 22 3 3 16 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.