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Bundesliga
Referee: Martin Petersen
Werder Bremen
S U S S T
2–0
Full-time
Wolfsburg
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 5. · Wolfsburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 +14 14
2 Bayern Munich 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Hertha 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 M'gladbach 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Werder Bremen 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 RB Leipzig 6 3 2 1 +1 11
7 Wolfsburg 6 2 3 1 +1 9
8 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Mainz 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Nurnberg 6 2 2 2 -3 8
11 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 1 3 +0 7
13 Freiburg 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Leverkusen 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 Stuttgart 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Schalke 04 6 1 0 5 -6 3
18 Hannover 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
1–0 D. Klaassen
35′
Florian Kainz 🟨
43′
45′
🟨 William
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ Y. Mallı
63′
🟨 Daniel Ginczek
C. Pizarro 🔁
↦ F. Kainz
75′
78′
🔁 J. Błaszczykowski
↦ R. Steffen
J. Eggestein 🔁
↦ Y. Ōsako
83′
86′
🔁 E. Rexhbecaj
↦ M. Tisserand
2–0 J. Eggestein
C. Pizarro
86′
K. Möhwald 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
15 S. Langkamp D
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
44 P. Bargfrede M
7 F. Kainz F
30 D. Klaassen M
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
8 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
4 C. Pizarro
24 J. Eggestein
6 K. Möhwald
11 M. Rashica
17 N. Şahin
32 M. Friedl
40 L. Plogmann

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Wolfsburg

4-1-4-1
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
32 M. Tisserand D
25 J. Brooks D
2 William D
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
7 J. Brekalo M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
33 D. Ginczek
16 J. Błaszczykowski
37 E. Rexhbecaj
3 P. Verhaegh
12 P. Pervan
13 Y. Gerhardt
17 F. Uduokhai

Coach: B. Labbadia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Petersen · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.