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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Bayern Munich
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Hertha
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
1,5
Scored
3,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 57%
83%
30%
Points per game
2,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
65%
35%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
61%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%
19 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Hertha 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 19 2 2 +37 59
2 Dortmund 23 11 7 5 +19 40
3 Ein Frankfurt 23 11 6 6 +6 39
4 Leverkusen 23 10 8 5 +13 38
5 RB Leipzig 23 11 5 7 +5 38
6 Schalke 04 23 10 7 6 +6 37
7 Hannover 23 8 8 7 -1 32
8 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 +3 31
9 Hoffenheim 23 8 7 8 +0 31
10 M'gladbach 23 9 4 10 -5 31
11 Hertha 23 7 9 7 +0 30
12 Freiburg 23 6 10 7 -13 28
13 Stuttgart 23 8 3 12 -8 27
14 Wolfsburg 24 4 13 7 -4 25
15 Mainz 24 6 6 12 -13 24
16 Werder Bremen 23 5 8 10 -7 23
17 Hamburg 23 4 5 14 -16 17
18 FC Koln 23 3 5 15 -22 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Hertha
Half-time 0–0
K. Coman 🔁
↦ F. Ribéry
68′
S. Wagner 🔁
↦ T. Müller
71′
71′
🔁 A. Esswein
↦ D. Selke
A. Vidal 🔁
↦ Thiago Alcântara
75′
80′
🔁 O. Duda
↦ S. Kalou
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-3-3
26 S. Ulreich G
13 Rafinha D
5 M. Hummels D
27 D. Alaba D
4 N. Süle D
10 A. Robben M
7 F. Ribéry M
8 Javi Martínez M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
29 K. Coman
2 S. Wagner
23 A. Vidal
14 Juan Bernat
19 S. Rudy
22 T. Starke
24 C. Tolisso

Coach: J. Heynckes

Hertha

4-1-4-1
22 R. Jarstein G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
5 N. Stark D
25 J. Torunarigha D
8 S. Kalou M
28 F. Lustenberger M
11 M. Leckie M
6 V. Darida M
20 V. Lazaro M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
7 A. Esswein
10 O. Duda
1 T. Kraft
3 P. Skjelbred
17 M. Mittelstädt
23 M. Weiser
32 P. Dárdai

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.