Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fulham
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wolves
|
33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 73 |
| 2 |
Cardiff
|
33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +22 | 64 |
| 3 |
Derby
|
33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | +19 | 56 |
| 5 |
Fulham
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +19 | 55 |
| 6 |
Bristol City
|
33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | +9 | 54 |
| 7 |
Sheffield United
|
33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | +7 | 52 |
| 8 |
Middlesbrough
|
32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +13 | 51 |
| 9 |
Preston
|
34 | 12 | 15 | 7 | +7 | 51 |
| 10 |
Brentford
|
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 11 |
Leeds
|
34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | +4 | 49 |
| 12 |
Millwall
|
34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +5 | 48 |
| 13 |
Ipswich
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +2 | 48 |
| 14 |
Norwich
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | -3 | 47 |
| 15 |
Nott'm Forest
|
34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | -12 | 40 |
| 16 |
QPR
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -13 | 39 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Weds
|
34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | -7 | 37 |
| 18 |
Reading
|
33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -7 | 34 |
| 19 |
Bolton
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -22 | 34 |
| 20 |
Hull
|
33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | -6 | 32 |
| 21 |
Barnsley
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -14 | 31 |
| 22 |
Birmingham
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -29 | 30 |
| 23 |
Burton Albion
|
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -34 | 29 |
| 24 |
Sunderland
|
34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -24 | 27 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bristol City
Fulham
Fulham
Aston Villa
Bolton
Fulham
Fulham
Nott'm Forest
Barnsley
Fulham
Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.