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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Heracles
U U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Zwolle
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
46%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
79%
54%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
19 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 13
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 12. · Zwolle 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 20 2 2 +37 62
2 Ajax 24 18 3 3 +45 57
3 AZ Alkmaar 25 16 5 4 +24 53
4 Feyenoord 24 12 6 6 +22 42
5 Zwolle 24 11 6 7 +0 39
6 Utrecht 22 10 7 5 +2 37
7 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +11 33
8 Heerenveen 23 8 8 7 -2 32
9 Den Haag 22 9 5 8 -2 32
10 VVV Venlo 24 7 10 7 -5 31
11 Excelsior 24 8 5 11 -6 29
12 Heracles 24 7 6 11 -17 27
13 Groningen 25 5 10 10 -5 25
14 NAC Breda 25 5 6 14 -16 21
15 Willem II 24 5 5 14 -15 20
16 Twente 24 4 5 15 -17 17
17 Roda 24 4 5 15 -27 17
18 Sparta Rotterdam 25 3 6 16 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Zwolle
1–0 K. Peterson
B. Kuwas
42′
Half-time 1–1
50′
P. Parzyszek 1–1
Y. Namli
2–1 V. Vermeij
K. Peterson
62′
B. Darri 🔁
↦ K. Peterson
73′
73′
🔁 R. Ligeon
↦ N. Freire
79′
🔁 T. Ondaan
↦ K. Ehizibue
82′
🔁 Q. Menig
↦ Y. Mokhtar
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ V. Vermeij
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
12 W. Droste D
4 R. Pröpper D
22 R. Baas D
21 S. Jakubiak M
20 P. van Ooijen M
35 Jamiro M
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
19 V. Vermeij F
Bench (11)
7 B. Darri
9 P. Gladon
3 D. Wuytens
5 B. van Hintum
14 M. Osman
15 J. Navrátil
26 H. Zeinstra
27 N. Leemhuis
28 M. Brouwer
29 R. Niemeijer
30 T. van de Berg

Coach: J. Stegeman

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
2 B. van Polen D
3 N. Freire D
13 P. Sandler D
6 M. Saymak M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
9 P. Parzyszek F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (9)
24 R. Ligeon
11 T. Ondaan
17 Q. Menig
8 W. Marinus
16 M. van der Hart
23 E. Bakker
28 R. Benschop
35 S. Woudstra
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.