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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Lille
T S T U U
1–2
Full-time
Angers
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
19%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
62%
42%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 17. · Angers 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 22 2 2 +62 68
2 Monaco 27 17 6 4 +38 57
3 Marseille 26 16 7 3 +27 55
4 Lyon 26 14 7 5 +24 49
5 Montpellier 27 9 12 6 +3 39
6 Nantes 26 11 6 9 +0 39
7 Rennes 26 10 5 11 -3 35
8 Bordeaux 26 10 5 11 -3 35
9 Nice 26 10 5 11 -6 35
10 Guingamp 26 9 7 10 -7 34
11 St Etienne 26 9 6 11 -13 33
12 Caen 26 9 5 12 -10 32
13 Dijon 26 9 5 12 -16 32
14 Strasbourg 27 8 7 12 -15 31
15 Troyes 26 8 4 14 -10 28
16 Toulouse 27 7 7 13 -11 28
17 Lille 26 7 6 13 -16 27
18 Amiens 26 7 5 14 -8 26
19 Angers 26 5 10 11 -12 25
20 Metz 26 5 3 18 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Angers
Half-time 0–0
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ Thiago Mendes
72′
73′
K. Toko Ekambi 0–1
Y. Andreu
76′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
80′
🟨 Thomas Mangani
82′
🟨 Pierrick Capelle
I. Faraj 🔁
↦ L. Mothiba
84′
84′
🔁 A. Fulgini
↦ F. Tait
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ Thiago Maia
86′
1–1 N. Pépé
I. Faraj
88′
89′
K. Toko Ekambi 1–2
92′
🔁 B. Guillaume
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
5 A. Soumaoro D
3 J. Alonso D
22 K. Dabila D
23 Thiago Mendes M
6 I. Amadou M
20 Thiago Maia M
25 F. Ballo D
19 N. Pépé M
11 Luiz Araujo M
18 L. Mothiba F
Bench (7)
21 Y. Bissouma
14 I. Faraj
9 E. Ponce
24 B. Soumaré
15 Edgar Ié
27 H. Mendyl
30 K. Koffi

Coach: C. Galtier

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
5 T. Mangani M
6 P. Oniangué M
20 F. Tait M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
15 P. Capelle
23 A. Fulgini
19 B. Guillaume
1 M. Michel
24 R. Thomas
25 A. Bamba
27 T. Touré

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.