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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Freiburg
U S T U T
0–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
10%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 15. · Schalke 04 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 10 7 2 1 +17 23
2 Dortmund 10 6 2 2 +16 20
3 RB Leipzig 10 6 1 3 +4 19
4 Hannover 10 5 3 2 +5 18
5 Ein Frankfurt 11 5 3 3 +2 18
6 Schalke 04 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 M'gladbach 10 5 2 3 -2 17
8 Hoffenheim 10 4 4 2 +3 16
9 Leverkusen 10 4 3 3 +7 15
10 Augsburg 10 4 3 3 +5 15
11 Hertha 10 3 4 3 -1 13
12 Stuttgart 10 4 1 5 -2 13
13 Mainz 10 3 2 5 -5 11
14 Wolfsburg 10 1 7 2 -3 10
15 Freiburg 10 1 5 4 -14 8
16 Hamburg 10 2 1 7 -10 7
17 Werder Bremen 11 0 5 6 -10 5
18 FC Koln 10 0 2 8 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. May -17 Freiburg – Schalke 04 2–0 17. Dec -16 Schalke 04 – Freiburg 1–1

Match report

Freiburg Schalke 04
Half-time 0–0
A. Abrashi 🔁
↦ M. Frantz
61′
62′
⚽ D. Caligiuri 0–1
G. Burgstaller
65′
🔁 A. Harit
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
F. Kath 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
75′
M. Terrazzino 🔁
↦ N. Petersen
78′
79′
🔁 B. Embolo
↦ F. Di Santo
Florian Kath 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Benjamin Stambouli
93′
🔁 F. Reese
↦ G. Burgstaller
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

3-4-3
1 A. Schwolow G
30 C. Günter D
15 P. Stenzel D
25 R. Koch M
23 J. Schuster D
8 M. Frantz M
27 N. Höfler M
19 J. Haberer M
33 C. Stanko M
32 B. Kapustka M
18 N. Petersen F
Bench (7)
6 A. Abrashi
38 F. Kath
13 M. Terrazzino
16 Y. Ravet
17 L. Kübler
20 M. Kempf
44 R. Gikiewicz

Coach: C. Streich

Schalke 04

3-1-4-2
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
24 B. Oczipka M
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
11 Y. Konoplyanka F
17 B. Stambouli D
7 M. Meyer M
2 W. McKennie M
19 G. Burgstaller F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
25 A. Harit
36 B. Embolo
16 F. Reese
10 N. Bentaleb
23 Coke
28 A. Schöpf
35 A. Nübel

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.