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Ligue 1

Referee: Thomas Leonard

Troyes

S S U T T

3–0

Full-time

Strasbourg

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

27%

18%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

64%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Troyes 15. · Strasbourg 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	2	0	+31	32
2	Monaco	11	8	1	2	+16	25
3	Lyon	11	6	4	1	+12	22
4	Marseille	11	6	3	2	+4	21
5	Nantes	11	6	2	3	+1	20
6	St Etienne	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Caen	11	6	0	5	+0	18
8	Bordeaux	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Montpellier	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Toulouse	11	4	3	4	-4	15
12	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	-2	14
13	Angers	12	2	7	3	-3	13
14	Dijon	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Troyes	11	3	3	5	-6	12
16	Nice	11	3	1	7	-6	10
17	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-6	10
18	Strasbourg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
19	Lille	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Metz	11	1	0	10	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Caen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	St Etienne	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Guingamp	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Toulouse	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Nice	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Rennes	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Dijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+0	6
16	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	+1	5
17	Lille	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Troyes	6	1	2	3	-6	5
19	Angers	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Metz	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+1	13
3	Monaco	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Angers	6	2	4	0	+4	10
5	Nantes	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Troyes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	St Etienne	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Caen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Toulouse	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Strasbourg	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Amiens	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Guingamp	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Metz	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Nice	5	1	0	4	-8	3
20	Lille	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.