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Bundesliga

Referee: Guido Winkmann

Hamburg

T U T T T

3–1

Full-time

Stuttgart

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

30%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

0,7

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%

20 Shots 3

12 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

11 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hamburg 16. · Stuttgart 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Dortmund	10	6	2	2	+16	20
3	RB Leipzig	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Schalke 04	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	M'gladbach	10	5	2	3	-2	17
8	Hoffenheim	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+7	15
10	Augsburg	10	4	3	3	+5	15
11	Hertha	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Stuttgart	10	4	1	5	-2	13
13	Mainz	10	3	2	5	-5	11
14	Wolfsburg	10	1	7	2	-3	10
15	Freiburg	10	1	5	4	-14	8
16	Hamburg	10	2	1	7	-10	7
17	Werder Bremen	11	0	5	6	-10	5
18	FC Koln	10	0	2	8	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Stuttgart	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+8	11
4	Schalke 04	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Hoffenheim	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Hertha	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+5	10
8	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+11	9
11	M'gladbach	5	3	0	2	-1	9
12	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Freiburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
14	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Wolfsburg	5	0	4	1	-3	4
16	Hamburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Werder Bremen	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	3	2	1	+5	11
2	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	2	1	+2	11
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Wolfsburg	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Hoffenheim	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Werder Bremen	6	0	4	2	-2	4
13	Hamburg	5	1	0	4	-5	3
14	Hertha	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	FC Koln	6	0	1	5	-11	1
17	Freiburg	5	0	1	4	-15	1
18	Stuttgart	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.