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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Genoa
T S U T T
0–2
Full-time
Sampdoria
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
9%
60%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
36%
80%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,9
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 18. · Sampdoria 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 11 10 1 0 +24 31
2 Inter 11 9 2 0 +14 29
3 Juventus 11 9 1 1 +23 28
4 Lazio 11 9 1 1 +19 28
5 Roma 10 8 0 2 +12 24
6 Sampdoria 10 6 2 2 +9 20
7 Fiorentina 11 5 1 5 +6 16
8 Milan 11 5 1 5 +0 16
9 Torino 11 4 4 3 -2 16
10 Atalanta 11 4 3 4 +3 15
11 Chievo 11 4 3 4 -5 15
12 Bologna 12 4 2 6 -4 14
13 Udinese 11 4 0 7 -4 12
14 Crotone 12 3 3 6 -12 12
15 Cagliari 11 3 0 8 -11 9
16 Spal 11 2 2 7 -10 8
17 Sassuolo 11 2 2 7 -13 8
18 Genoa 11 1 3 7 -7 6
19 Verona 11 1 3 7 -17 6
20 Benevento 11 0 0 11 -25 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Sampdoria
23′
🟨 Bartosz Bereszyński
24′
G. Ramírez 0–1
D. Zapata
Gianluca Lapadula 🟨
27′
44′
🟨 Gianmarco Ferrari
Half-time 0–1
D. Lazović 🔁
↦ A. Rosi
53′
Miguel Veloso 🟨
58′
60′
🔁 É. Barreto
↦ G. Ramírez
G. Pandev 🔁
↦ L. Rigoni
67′
Luca Rossettini 🟨
69′
77′
🔁 R. Álvarez
↦ D. Praet
Adel Taarabt 🟨
80′
84′
F. Quagliarella 0–2
D. Zapata
P. Pellegri 🔁
↦ D. Lazović
86′
87′
🔁 G. Caprari
↦ D. Zapata
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-2-1
1 M. Perin G
20 A. Rosi M
13 L. Rossettini D
87 E. Zukanović D
5 A. Izzo D
11 A. Taarabt F
44 Miguel Veloso M
30 L. Rigoni M
93 D. Laxalt M
40 S. Omeonga M
10 G. Lapadula F
Bench (12)
22 D. Lazović
19 G. Pandev
64 P. Pellegri
3 S. Gentiletti
4 I. Cofie
8 A. Bertolacci
14 D. Biraschi
16 A. Galabinov
18 F. Migliore
21 P. Brlek
23 E. Lamanna
27 F. Ricci

Coach: I. Juric

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
2 E. Viviano G
26 M. Silvestre D
17 I. Strinić D
24 B. Bereszyński D
13 G. Ferrari D
90 G. Ramírez M
18 D. Praet M
16 K. Linetty M
34 L. Torreira M
27 F. Quagliarella F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
8 É. Barreto
11 R. Álvarez
9 G. Caprari
1 C. Puggioni
3 J. Andersen
7 J. Sala
19 V. Regini
21 V. Verre
28 L. Capezzi
29 N. Murru
92 A. Tozzo
99 D. Kownacki

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.