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Bundesliga
Referee: Manuel Gräfe
Schalke 04
S S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Freiburg
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 54%
43%
64%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 10. · Freiburg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 10 3 1 +25 33
2 RB Leipzig 14 10 3 1 +17 33
3 Hoffenheim 15 6 9 0 +11 27
4 Hertha 14 8 3 3 +8 27
5 Dortmund 15 7 5 3 +16 26
6 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 5 2 +8 26
7 FC Koln 14 6 5 3 +6 23
8 Leverkusen 14 6 2 6 +0 20
9 Freiburg 14 6 1 7 -7 19
10 Schalke 04 14 5 2 7 +2 17
11 Mainz 14 5 2 7 -3 17
12 M'gladbach 14 4 4 6 -8 16
13 Augsburg 14 3 5 6 -5 14
14 Werder Bremen 14 4 2 8 -14 14
15 Wolfsburg 14 2 4 8 -11 10
16 Hamburg 14 2 4 8 -16 10
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 14 2 3 9 -13 9
18 Darmstadt 14 2 2 10 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Freiburg
Johannes Geis 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
A. Baba 🔁
↦ J. Geis
59′
63′
🔁 M. Philipp
↦ L. Kübler
64′
F. Niederlechner 0–1
J. Haberer
D. Avdijaj 🔁
↦ F. Reese
68′
1–1 Y. Konoplyanka
A. Baba
74′
79′
🔁 A. Abrashi
↦ P. Stenzel
83′
🔁 O. Bulut
↦ F. Niederlechner
B. Tekpetey 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-1-2
1 R. Fährmann G
4 B. Höwedes D
6 S. Kolašinac D
20 T. Kehrer D
11 Y. Konoplyanka F
5 J. Geis D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
10 N. Bentaleb M
21 A. Schöpf M
16 F. Reese F
Bench (7)
14 A. Baba
33 D. Avdijaj
32 B. Tekpetey
17 B. Stambouli
27 S. Riether
35 A. Nübel
40 P. Neumann

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
5 M. Gulde D
17 L. Kübler D
30 C. Günter D
15 P. Stenzel D
4 C. Söyüncü D
23 J. Schuster D
8 M. Frantz M
19 J. Haberer M
32 V. Grifo M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (7)
26 M. Philipp
6 A. Abrashi
11 O. Bulut
3 Torrejón
16 M. Dæhli
18 N. Petersen
44 R. Gikiewicz

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Gräfe · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.