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Ligue 1
Referee: Stephane Jochem
Montpellier
U U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Amiens
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 15%
9%
20%
Both score Ø 19%
27%
10%
Average goals
1,4
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,6
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 9. · Amiens 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 10 2 0 +31 32
2 Monaco 11 8 1 2 +16 25
3 Lyon 11 6 4 1 +12 22
4 Marseille 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Nantes 11 6 2 3 +1 20
6 St Etienne 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Caen 11 6 0 5 +0 18
8 Bordeaux 12 4 4 4 -2 16
9 Montpellier 11 4 3 4 +1 15
10 Rennes 12 4 3 5 -1 15
11 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 -4 15
12 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 -2 14
13 Angers 12 2 7 3 -3 13
14 Dijon 11 3 3 5 -6 12
15 Troyes 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Nice 11 3 1 7 -6 10
17 Amiens 10 3 1 6 -6 10
18 Strasbourg 11 2 4 5 -7 10
19 Lille 10 1 3 6 -9 6
20 Metz 11 1 0 10 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Amiens
Half-time 0–0
R. Aguilar 🔁
↦ M. Poaty
58′
Nordi Mukiele 🟨
70′
G. Sio 🔁
↦ I. Mbenza
71′
73′
🔁 Q. Cornette
↦ S. Gakpé
S. Sambia 🔁
↦ S. Sessègnon
79′
1–0 G. Sio
P. Lasne
82′
84′
🔁 S. Koita
↦ H. Manzala
85′
🟨 Khaled Adenon
88′
Danilo Avelar 1–1
Pedro Mendes 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

3-4-1-2
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
5 Pedro Mendes D
23 N. Mukiele D
26 M. Poaty D
28 S. Sessègnon M
7 P. Lasne M
13 E. Skhiri M
19 S. Camara F
18 I. Mbenza M
Bench (7)
2 R. Aguilar
14 G. Sio
6 S. Sambia
1 L. Pionnier
20 K. Dolly
27 F. Píriz
29 C. Ninga

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
3 K. Adénon D
35 Danilo Avelar D
19 O. El Hajjam D
12 B. Dibassy D
26 G. N'Gosso M
7 H. Manzala M
34 B. Zungu M
37 S. Gakpé M
14 G. Kakuta M
15 M. Konaté F
Bench (7)
13 Q. Cornette
29 S. Koita
10 E. Bourgaud
16 J. Bouet
20 S. Baradji
23 J. Ielsch
25 I. Cissokho

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stephane Jochem · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.